【关键词】 慢性病；慢性病管理；文献计量学；VOSviewer；战略坐标法；三次指数平滑法 【中图分类号】 R36 【文献标识码】 ADOI： 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2023.0865

    【Abstract】Background The disease spectrum of Chinese residents is undergoing fundamental changes.Chronicdiseaseshavebecomethe mostimportantpublichealthproblem.ObjectiveTorevealtheevolutionlogicofhottopics inthefield of chronic disease management，theresearch hotspotsandevolution paths ofchronic disease management werevisuallyanalyzed. Apredictionmodelbasedontrenddegreis generatedtorevealthefuturedevelopmentdirectionofhottopicsinthefieldofchronic disease management.MethodsTheliteraturesearchtime wasasofApril30，2O23.The type waslimitedtoacademicjournals， and non-research literatures such asacademic papers，meting minutes，news reports，and expert consensus were excluded. Relevant iteratures areretrieved inChina National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI)，VIPChinese Scienceand Technology Journal Full-text Database ......