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Systematic review to determine whether participation in a trial influe
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     1 Norwegian Health Services Research Centre, PO Box 7004, 0130 Oslo, Norway, 2 National Research Centre for Rehabilitation in Rheumatology, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, 3 Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University Health Sciences Centre, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada

    Correspondence to: G E Vist gev@nhsrc.no

    Objective To systematically compare the outcomes of participants in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with those in comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment.

    Table 1 Summary of studies included in sensitivity analysis

    Data sources Bibliographic databases, reference lists from eligible articles, medical journals, and study authors.

    Review methods RCTs and cohort studies that evaluated the clinical outcomes of participants in RCTs and comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment.

    Results Five RCTs (six comparisons) and 50 cohort studies (85 comparisons) provided data on 31 140 patients treated in RCTs and 20 380 comparable patients treated outside RCTs. In the five RCTs, in which patients were given the option of participating or not, the comparisons provided limited information because of small sample sizes (a total of 412 patients) and the nature of the questions considered. 73 dichotomous outcomes were compared, of which 59 reported no statistically significant differences. For patients treated within RCTs, 10 comparisons reported significantly better outcomes and four reported significantly worse outcomes. Significantly heterogeneity was found (I2 = 89%) among the comparisons of 73 dichotomous outcomes; none of our a priori explanatory factors helped explain this heterogeneity. The 18 comparisons of continuous outcomes showed no significant differences in heterogeneity (I2 = 0%). The overall pooled estimate for continuous outcomes of the effect of participating in an RCT was not significant (standardised mean difference 0.01, 95% confidence interval -0.10 to 0.12).

    Conclusion No strong evidence was found of a harmful or beneficial effect of participating in RCTs compared with receiving the same or similar treatment outside such trials.

    Properly conducted randomised controlled trials (RCTs) provide the strongest evidence of the effects of treatment.1 It is, however, controversial as to whether participants of such trials benefit directly or whether these studies are solely for the benefit of future patients. In addition, there is much scepticism about the applicability of the results to usual practice.2

    Four reviews that considered whether it is beneficial or harmful to participate in RCTs drew varied conclusions.3-6 These reviews compared patients who were treated within trials with those treated outside the trials, regardless of differences between the clinical interventions or between the participants and non-participants. It is therefore uncertain whether the results reflect the effects of participating in an RCT (trial effects), differences in the clinical interventions (treatment effects), or differences between participants and non-participants. We determined whether the outcomes of participants in RCTs differed from those of comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment.

    Methods

    Our review was undertaken as a Cochrane methodology review (see Cochrane Library for fuller details of our methods and updated versions of the review).7

    We included studies that compared participants in RCTs with comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment. We included observational studies and RCTs in which participation or the option of participation was randomly allocated.

    Search strategies

    We used seven strategies to identify relevant studies: consultation with experts; search of personal files; electronic searches of the Cochrane central register of controlled trials, Medline, Embase, the Cochrane methodology register, and PsycINFO; a review of reference lists from eligible articles; and a search of PubMed using the "related articles" feature and SciSearch. We also hand searched articles published in 2000 in five medical journals (BMJ, Annals of Internal Medicine, JAMA, Lancet, and New England Journal of Medicine) to identify RCTs with over 200 patients and at least 100 eligible non-participants. Studies' authors were contacted for data on the treatment and outcomes of eligible non-participants.

    Assessment of study eligibility

    Two reviewers independently assessed each article for eligibility. Disagreements were resolved by discussion. A third reviewer was consulted when consensus could not be reached.

    Data ion

    Two reviewers independently ed data from eligible studies. Each study was assessed for selection bias (differences between participants and non-participants), detection bias, and exclusion bias (losses to follow-up). On the basis of the combined risks of the three biases, we grouped each comparison into overall quality groups (randomised, controlled comparisons, partially controlled comparisons, and poorly controlled comparisons) for analysis. Missing data were sought from the investigators.

    Analysis

    We compared the experimental group of the RCT with their respective eligible non-participants who received the treatment and the control group and eligible non-participants who received the control treatment outside of the trial. For each comparison, we analysed the main outcome, and, when reported, we analysed mortality separately. For all of the included comparisons we used the main outcome as reported by the investigators. We analysed the dichotomous and continuous results separately. The results are reported as relative risks with 95% confidence intervals, using adjusted estimates when available. For a summary of the dichotomous results in one table, we calculated the associated standard error from the natural logarithm of the unadjusted relative risk. Heterogeneity was assessed by 2 test and the I2 statistic using RevMan version 4.2.8 For the unadjusted relative risk analysis, we used the Mantel-Haenszel test in RevMan. A fixed effect model was used to calculate summary statistics if no statistically significant (P < 0.10) heterogeneity was found among similar comparisons. For statistically heterogeneous results we described the variation in the estimates and key explanatory factors; where possible relating the explanatory factors to observed differences in estimates of the effects of participation. We constructed a funnel plot to explore the possibility of publication bias.

    Fig 1 Selection process of eligible studies

    Results

    Overall, 55 studies, totalling 91 comparisons, met our inclusion criteria (fig 1). Forty one studies are still awaiting assessment, which currently cannot be included or excluded on the basis of the published information.

    We identified five RCTs (six comparisons) in which patients were randomised according to whether they had the option to participate. These studies provided limited data because of their small sample sizes and the nature of the questions considered. Two studies randomised 82 patients to "n of 1 trials" compared with standard practice—that is, randomised, double blind, multiple crossover comparisons of an active drug with a placebo in a single patient.9 10 One study (60 patients) measured spontaneously self reported side effects in patients who had or had not been informed that they were in an RCT.11 One study (227 patients) reported satisfaction among patients randomised to an RCT compared with patients randomised to a patient preference trial in which they had a choice of treatment.12 Another study (43 patients) reported pain reduction among patients randomised to an RCT compared with those who were not invited to participate.13 None of these studies found significant differences in outcomes between patients treated in or outside RCTs.

    Non-randomised cohort studies

    We identified 50 cohort studies (85 comparisons) totalling 30 862 patients participating in RCTs compared with 20 246 patients treated outside RCTs.14-63 Seventy comparisons comprised dichotomous outcomes, of which 12 reported adjusted estimates, and 15 comparisons comprised continuous outcomes.

    We found significant heterogeneity (I2 = 89.0%) among the results of comparisons with dichotomous main outcomes (fig 2); these results were therefore not pooled. Of these 73 comparisons, 59 reported no significant differences between outcomes for patients treated in RCTs and those receiving similar treatments outside RCTs; 10 reported significantly better outcomes for patients treated in RCTs, and four reported significantly worse outcomes for patients treated in RCTs.

    Fig 2 Results of dichotomous main outcomes in participants of randomised controlled trials and comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment

    Figure 3 shows the results of the 18 comparisons with continuous main outcomes. We found no significant heterogeneity (I2 = 0%). The pooled estimate found no differences in outcomes for patients treated in and outside RCTs (standardised mean difference 0.01, 95% confidence interval -0.10 to 0.12).

    Fig 3 Results of continuous main outcomes in participants of randomised controlled trials and comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment

    In 17 studies (32 comparisons) with data on mortality (fig 4), we found significant heterogeneity (I2 = 88.8%); the results were therefore not pooled. In 24 of the 32 comparisons we found no significant difference in mortality. Four comparisons reported a significant lower risk of mortality for patients treated in RCTs and four comparisons reported a significantly higher risk of mortality.

    Fig 4 Comparison of mortality between participants of randomised controlled trials and comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment

    Separate subgroup analyses could not explain the observed heterogeneity by the different types of eligible non-participants, treatments, clinical specialities, or study quality (selection bias, detection bias, and exclusion bias). The table summarises the studies included in the sensitivity analysis.

    The funnel plot of the dichotomous comparisons showed no asymmetry (fig 5), indicating a low risk of publication bias.

    Fig 5 Funnel plot of dichotomous comparisons in participants of randomised controlled trials and comparable non-participants who received the same or similar treatment

    Discussion

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